News Room - Business/Economics

Posted on 04 Sep 2008

Asean consumer sector resilient

The Asean consumer sector is showing its defensiveness in the current challenging economic environment, with the Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia finishing among the top three best-performing consumer sectors by country year-to-date (YTD).

Citi Investment Research reported the three countries' consumer sectors, based on YTD performance of component stocks, were up 7%, down1% and down 5% respectively in absolute terms.

All other Asian countries that Citi covered in the valuation recorded double-digit negative yields (see table). The consumer sectors in Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines outperformed the benchmark index of the respective countries.

Fundamentally, Citi said, key consumer names in Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines showed strong free cash flow, high return on equity (ROE) and high dividend yield. 

However, it also said that most of the Asean names' liquidity was poor. As a result, these stocks have not been actively traded during market downturns and thus their price depreciation is relatively less.

British American Tobacco (M) Bhd, the only Malaysian company that was mentioned in Citi's Asian consumer valuation report, ranked the highest in ROE with 164% but recorded the second lowest compounded annual growth rate in operating profit, at 0%.

In August, the Asian consumer sector mostly outperformed against respective benchmark indices except for Taiwan, where Far Eastern Department Store Ltd suffered a setback due to unexpected non-core losses and ongoing legal issues.

Citi said in general, the Asian markets' volatility was more severe than anticipated but the consumer sector's defensiveness might continue.