Posted on 06 Aug 2009
This was lower than the median forecast of 25% from Bloomberg’s survey of 17 economists.
Imports dropped 20.8% to RM35.99bil while trade surplus stood at RM9.12bil. Total trade declined 21.8% to RM81.09bil in June versus a year ago.
Month-on-month, exports increased 5.1% due to higher manufactured exports such as electrical and electronic (E&E) products, machinery, appliances and parts, while imports rose 9.4%.
RAM Holdings Bhd chief economist Dr Yeah Kim Leng noted that although the contraction in exports year-on-year remained high, there had been some improvement versus the previous months.
“The rate of contraction has stabilised and should improve gradually going forward as mirrored by the performance of other Asian exporting countries such as
However, he cautioned that the double-digit contraction in exports suggested that the recovery in global demand remained subdued and it could be a while before exports returned to pre-crisis levels.
TA Research economist Patricia Oh said the export and import contractions were “better than expected”. “My forecast was a 27% decline in exports and 28.1% drop in imports. Exports should be better as demand continues to grow in the E&E sector.”
The country’s major exports in June included E&E products valued at RM18.59bil or 41.2% of total exports, palm oil worth RM3.65bil or 8.1% and chemicals and chemical products of RM2.8bil or 6.2%.
However, exports to the
For imports, intermediate goods made up 70.3% or RM25.29bil, capital goods comprised 13.7% or RM4.93bil and consumption goods contributed 7.3% or RM2.63bil.
During the first six months of the year, exports decreased 23.4% to RM250.53bil compared with the same period last year while imports were lower by 26.3% to RM191.3bil.