Posted on 23 Feb 2016
China’s industrial overcapacity damaging global economy
China’s overcapacity in heavy industries is wreaking “far-reaching”
damage on the global economy, with steel production “completely
untethered” from market demand, the European Union Chamber of Commerce
in China said on Monday.
The Asian giant’s steel industry manufactures more than the next four
largest producers combined - Japan, India, the United States and Russia -
the chamber said in a report, warning that more than 60% of China’s
aluminium industry has negative cash flow. And in just two years, its
cement production equalled the amount produced in the United States
during the entire 20th Century.
“China has not followed through on the attempts it has made over the
last decade to address overcapacity,” chamber president Joerg Wuttke
said in a statement.
Brussels has launched new anti-dumping probes into Chinese steel
imports, as producers in both Europe and Asia struggle with global
prices that have plummeted in the face of oversupply.
“Overcapacity has been a blight on China’s industrial landscape for many
years now, affecting dozens of industries and wreaking far-reaching
damage on the global economy in general, and China’s economic growth in
particular,” the chamber’s report said.
The issue has led to trade tensions between the world’s second-largest
economy and developed countries that accuse it of dumping in their
markets.
China accounts for half of global steel production but internal demand
has slowed sharply along with economic growth, forcing it to look
overseas. Its steel exports soared 20% in 2015, according to Chinese
Customs data.
The EU launched probes this month into imports of Chinese steel, with
trade commissioner Cecilia Malmstroem warning: “We cannot allow unfair
competition from artificially cheap imports to threaten our industry.”
This month, Luxembourg-based world leader in steelmaking ArcelorMittal
blamed China for a colossal US$8 billion loss in 2015, at a time when
thousands of jobs are being cut across the industry. But many Chinese
steel firms are also losing money, and Beijing has announced plans to
cut production by as much as 150 million tonnes over the next five
years.
PROTECTIONISM
Despite authorities’ vows to tackle excess production, the EU chamber
report said Beijing’s prioritisation of industrial policies over
consumption meant “the Chinese government’s current role in the economy
is part of the problem”.
To achieve change, it said the government needed “a willingness to change itself”.
Chamber president Wuttke told reporters: “We are now in a far more worse
position than we were before. Beijing increasingly has the same
problems as Brussels: making things happen. That was not the case 10 or
15 years ago. Local protectionism is very strong.”
Beijing hopes to soak up overcapacity by selling its excess production
to markets in Central Asia and the Middle East as part of President Xi
Jinping’s One Belt One Road plan, which has been touted as a revival of
ancient Silk Road trade routes. But those markets were not big enough to
absorb China’s overcapacity, Wuttke said.
It “is a complete mismatch, it will not put even a minor dent in the overcapacities in China”, he said.